Thursday, September 29, 2016

College Football Week 5 Picks/Predictions

After another exciting week of college football, we head into week 5 where conference match-ups heat up, and we start to find out who's a contender and who's a pretender.  Here are my week 5 college football picks/predictions:


Lines via Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook

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#7 Stanford (3-0) at #10 Washington (4-0) (9:00 PM ET, on ESPN, in Seattle, Washington) FRIDAY
                                                                  UPSET

Line is set at: #10 Washington (-3)


My pick: #7 Stanford defeats #10 Washington 33-28


What to watch for: Stanford's offense.  The Cardinal's offense vs UCLA was not very good, but they, with the help of the defense and special teams found a way to pull it out.  But I think if they want to beat the Huskies on the road, they'll have to play much better, and I see them doing in a close win.

My thoughts on this game: This is one of the best games of the week on paper, and I think it will be on the field also.  Washington and Stanford are both good teams, but Stanford has been tested more this season, and they have been in bigger games in recent history more than Washington has, so I think the Cardinal will come out more prepared en route to a very tight win.

Photo credit: Kelvin Kuo - USA TODAY Sports
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#11 Tennessee (4-0) at #25 Georgia (3-1) (3:30 PM ET, on CBS, in Athens, Georgia)

Line is set at: #11 Tennessee (-3)

My pick: #11 Tennessee defeats #25 Georgia 30-17

What to watch for: Tennessee's defense.  The Vols defense has talent, and they showed it in the second half vs Florida in their 38-28 win, but they'll probably prefer a complete game of defense both in the first half and second, and I think they'll accomplish that.

My thoughts on this game: Tennessee comes into this game with a lot of confidence considering they have broken Florida's 11 game win streak against them, and Georgia is just the opposite.  The Bulldogs come in with a lack of confidence because they just got crushed by Ole Miss 45-14, and I think with Tennessee's confidence (which is just one of multiple reasons), they'll notch another top 25 victory.

Photo credit: Joe Robbins - Getty Images
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#8 Wisconsin (4-0) at #4 Michigan (4-0) (3:30 PM ET, on ABC, in Ann Arbor, Michigan)

Line is set at: #4 Michigan (-10.5)


My pick: #4 Michigan defeats #8 Wisconsin 24-16                                                                                   

What to watch for: Michigan's defense.  The Wolverines defense has played great in the first four games of the season, but they will face a much tougher test vs #8 Wisconsin, and I think even though it will be a tight game, I think that the Wolverines' defense will show up, and play well in a good win over the #8 Badgers.

My thoughts on this game: This is a huge game nationally, and also in the BIG-10, so both of these teams are going to come out prepared and ready, but I see the Wolverines pulling it out at home 24-16 to improve to 5-0 (2-0) on the season.

Photo credit: Salwan Georges - Detroit Free Press
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#3 Louisville (4-0) at #5 Clemson (8:00 PM ET, on ABC, in Clemson, South Carolina)            
UPSET

Line is set at: #3 Louisville (-2)                                                                                          

My pick: #5 Clemson defeats #3 Louisville 38-35                                                                 

What to watch for: Clemson's offense.  I think this game will be pretty high scoring, so Clemson's ability to put a good amount of points on the board will be key, especially since on the other side of the ball, the defense faces the Heisman front runner in Lamar Jackson, and it will be tough to slow him and the Cards offense down.  So I think it will be important for the Clemson offense to score a lot, and I think they will accomplish that in a close win over the #3 ranked team in the nation.

My thoughts on this game; This is the first top 5 matchup of the season, and I think it will live up to its hype on the field.  Both Louisville and Clemson have things at stake, not only in the ACC, but also for the CFP, so I think both teams will come out prepared and motivated, but I see Clemson pulling out the close victory.

Photo credit: John Bazemore - AP
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                                              My Sneaky Good Game Of The Week
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#18 Utah (4-0) at California (2-2) (6:00 PM ET, on PAC-12 Network, in Berkeley, California)                   

Line is set at: California (-2)                                                                                              

My pick: California defeats #18 Utah 42-38                                                                          

What to watch for: Cal's offense.  Cal has a great offense, but their defense is a different story.  So vs #18 Utah, their offense will really have to play well, because I think the Utes will be able to put up a lot of points on them.  So with that being said, I do see Cal scoring enough to lift themselves over the top in this game.

My thoughts on this game: This football game is pretty under-the-radar, but I think it will be a good game, that goes down to the wire, in a Cal victory to improve them to 3-2 on the season.

Photo credit: Matt York - AP
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                                                     UPSET OF THE WEEK
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    Wake Forest (4-0) at NC State (2-1) (3:30 PM ET, on ACC Network, in Raleigh, North Carolina)
UPSET

Line is set at: NC State (-10.5)                                                                                             

My pick: Wake Forest defeats NC State 20-17                                                                        

What to watch for: Wake Forest's defense.  Wake Forest's defense has been pretty good so far this season, but this is probably their toughest test so far this season, and even though that's probably the case, I think they'll play well enough to pull off another win to stay undefeated.

My thoughts on this game; This game isn't getting very much, if any hype, and that makes sense considering there is so many other good games this weekend.  But if Wake Forest pulls this game out, they'll be 5-0 on the season, and that will be something nobody saw coming at the start of this season.

Photo credit: Marc Lebryk - USA TODAY Sports
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Enjoy week 5 of the college football season!

Here are some other games to look out for:
UConn at #6 Houston (THURSDAY)
#22 Texas at Oklahoma State
#14 Miami (FL) at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at #12 Florida State
#9 Texas A&M at South Carolina
Memphis at #16 Ole Miss
Missouri at LSU
#19 San Diego State at South Alabama
Arizona at UCLA

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