Wednesday, December 28, 2016

College Football New Years Six & CFP Picks/Predictions

After a wild regular season, we head into bowl season where teams try to finish off their season strong, and some are even vying for the National championship.  Here are my picks/predictions:

Lines via Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook

Capital One Orange Bowl
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#6 Michigan (10-2) vs #11 Florida State (9-3) (8:00 PM ET, on ESPN, in Miami Gardens, Florida)

Line is set at: #6 Michigan (-)

My pick: #6 Michigan defeats #11 Florida State 26-17

What to watch for: Michigan's defense.  The Wolverines' defense is very talented, and well coached.  However, they'll face a tough task vs Florida State and Dalvin Cook in the Orange Bowl.  With that being said, I see Michigan's defense playing well enough to get the victory and win the Orange Bowl.

My thoughts on this game: This is an interesting game to see how Michigan responds, and it's interesting because of the matchup between these two teams because both are very well coached and talented, and play a similar type of football.  I see it being pretty close the whole game, but I see Michigan making the big plays to get the victory.

\Photo credit: Rick Osentoski - USA TODAY Sports
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Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
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#4 Washington vs #1 Alabama (3:00 PM ET, on ESPN, in Atlanta, Georgia)                     

        Line is set at: #1 Alabama (-14.5)                                                              

  My pick: #1 Alabama defeats #4 Washington 38-17                                                             

What to watch for: Alabama's defense.  The Tide's defense will face a tough challenge vs the Huskies of Washington, but this defense can go up against anybody and play well, and I think vs #4 Washington, they'll be well prepared and they'll go out there and execute en route to a CFP victory.

My thoughts on this game: I think this is an interesting matchup between these two teams mainly because of the styles of play, and the coaching matchup.  Both of these teams are very deserving to be in this spot, but obviously only one of them will advance, and I see that team being Bama in a dominate victory.

Photo credit: Marvin Gentry - USA TODAY Sports
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PlayStation Fiesta Bowl 
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#3 Ohio State (11-1) vs #2 Clemson (12-1) (8:00 PM ET, on ESPN, in Glendale, Arizona)

Line is set at: #3 Ohio State (-3)                                                                                

My pick: #3 Ohio State defeats #2 Clemson 24-23                                                        

What to watch for: Ohio State's defense.  Ohio State's defense has been very good this season, but they'll face the toughest challenge they've faced all season with Clemson and Deshaun Watson going up against them.  With that being the case, I feel like Ohio State's defense will be able to come up with enough big plays to barely, barely, pull out a victory.

My thoughts on this game: This game, in my opinion, is the hardest one to pick.  Because both of these teams are very evenly matched, and are well-coached, but I feel the Buckeyes are going to find a way to pull out another close victory to advance to the National championship.

Photo credit: Joshua A. Bickel - ThisWeek Newspapers
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Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
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#15 Western Michigan (13-0) vs #8 Wisconsin (10-3) (1:00 PM ET, on ESPN, in Arlington, Texas)

Line is set at: #8 Wisconsin (-8.5)                                                                                

My pick: #8 Wisconsin defeats #15 Western Michigan 28-19                                            

What to watch for: Wisconsin's defense.  Western Michigan has a very good offense, but as most know, they haven't played very tough of a schedule and haven't faced a team with the defense or physicality of Wisconsin.  So with that being said, I see Wisconsin being the more physical and bigger team, but I see this game actually being pretty tight in a game Wisconsin wins to win the Cotton Bowl.

My thoughts on this game: These games are always interesting, because of not only the matchup, but also what the situation between these teams usually are.  Wisconsin, a team that was playing for a chance to win the Big-10, and maybe a chance to make some noise on the day that the playoff was announced, will face a 13-0 Western Michigan team from a Group of 5 conference, who knew they weren't going to the playoffs, but will have a chance to play with the big boys and make a statement.  So, it'll be interesting to see how these two teams will come out and play in this game, and I personally think that both will come out prepared in a slug fest type of game, where I see Wisconsin winning.

Photo credit: Jeff Hanisch - USA TODAY Sports
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Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual
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#9 USC (9-3) vs #5 Penn State (11-2) (5:00 PM ET, on ABC, in Pasadena, California)

Line is set at: #9 USC (-6.5)                                                                                            

My pick: #9 USC defeats #5 Penn State 38-28                                                                

What to watch for: USC's athleticism.  I know it's kinda an odd thing to "watch out for"; but USC is one of the most athletic teams in the country.  Guys like Adoree' Jackson, and JuJu Smith-Schuster, can just go off any minute, and as good and well-coached as Penn State is, they just aren't there yet in talent or athleticism to match up with the Trojans, and I see the play-making ability of those guys being too much in the end.

My thoughts on this game: This is a nice, and interesting match up to see.  Mainly because of two reasons: (1) It's nice to see because it's a matchup between two blue bloods.  (2) It's an interesting matchup to see because of who these two teams matched up against in the regular season (USC lost to #1 Alabama, and beat #4 Washington, and Penn State beat #3 Ohio State).  So both of those teams have played very tough opponents, and have been well-tested.

Photo credit: Jevone Moore - Full Image 360
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Allstate Sugar Bowl
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#14 Auburn (8-4) vs #7 Oklahoma (10-2) (8:30 PM ET, on ESPN, in New Orleans, Louisiana)

Line is set at: #7 Oklahoma (-3)                                                                               

My pick: #14 Auburn defeats #7 Oklahoma 28-24                                                       

What to watch for: Auburn's defense.  The Tigers have a very good defense, that is very well-coached.  However, they will face a tough challenge vs the high-powered Sooners offense.  With that being said, I see the defense of Auburn holding the offense of Oklahoma down enough to pull out the victory.

My thoughts on this game: This game is an interesting game because of the matchups.  It's a good defense of Auburn vs a good offense of Oklahoma, and a not so great Auburn offense vs a not so great Oklahoma defense, so that's a interesting situation for this game.  In the end, I just see Auburn being more focused, and prepared in this game especially with Oklahoma's recent distractions.

Photo credit: Shanna Lockwood - USA TODAY Sports
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Enjoy the bowl season!

Here are some other bowl games to watch out for:
#12 Oklahoma State vs #10 Colorado (Belk Bowl)
#20 LSU vs #13 Louisville (Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl)




You can follow me on twitter: @Footballfile

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